Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 14-Oct-2019 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight
Clear
Clear
Low: 31°
Monday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 65°
Monday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 44°
Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 57°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 35°
Wednesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 63°
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 39°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 71°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 48°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 14-Oct-2019 3:14am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Clear
Clear

Lo 31 °F ↑
Columbus
Day
Columbus Day: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 69 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 45 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 57 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 35 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 56 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 40 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 69 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 52 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-14-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-14-19 31 ↑   31 69   65 45 ↑   44 57   57 34   35 57   63 41   39 70   71
10-13-19 33 75.7°F 29 58 78.7 °F 57 34   32 69   66 44   42 59   56 35   35 57   61
10-12-19 31 75.7°F 27 59 78.7 °F 57 31 ↑ 75.7°F 33 58 78.7 °F 58 35   32 67   65 43   42 58   57
10-11-19 31 ↑ 75.7°F 34 44 78.7 °F 43 29 ↑ 75.7°F 28 59 78.7 °F 57 33 75.7°F 33 58 78.7 °F 56 35   32 65   67
10-10-19 55 ↑ 36.5°F 56 61 ↓ 60.3 °F 65 33 75.7°F 38 44 78.7 °F 40 31 75.7°F 30 59 78.7 °F 52 33 75.7°F 34 58 78.7 °F 55
10-09-19 56 75.7°F 55 71 ↓ 78.7 °F 68 59 36.5°F 60 60 60.3 °F 69 35 75.7°F 37 44 78.7 °F 39 31 75.7°F 26 55 78.7 °F 49
10-08-19 47 58.8°F 49 72 74.2 °F 73 54 75.7°F 55 72 78.7 °F 75 55 36.5°F 59 64 60.3 °F 70 37 75.7°F 41 44 78.7 °F 44
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   16.7     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 30.4   31.2 14.3   16.0 35.7   34.5 16.4   18.7 36.7   37.4 19.7   24.7 42.0   42.0 26.4   29.4
Net Error -24.2   -24.7 -14.1   -14.4 -26.7   -25.1 -16.4   -15.2 -27.4   -26.2 -17.9   -19.9 -42.0   -42.0 -26.4   -29.4
Std Dev 17.0   17.7 12.4   12.0 23.6   22.9 13.4   14.9 31.9   32.5 17.1   21.4 42.0   42.0 26.4   29.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 64 ↑   80 80   63 67   81 87   72 70   86 87   72 72   89 89   70
09-07-19 60 78.7 °F 82 82 64.7°F 63 63   80 79   63 65   85 86   71 70   88 87   72
09-06-19 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 91 84 64.9°F 64 62 ↑ 78.7 °F 84 84 64.7°F 65 63   75 80   61 66   85 87   70
09-05-19 65 ↑ 96.4 °F 95 94 ↓ 69.5°F 66 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 87 85 64.9°F 62 62 78.7 °F 84 82 64.7°F 64 64   77 80   64
09-04-19 55 ↑ 81.3 °F 84 81 65.5°F 60 65 96.4 °F 93 93 69.5°F 64 66 85.5 °F 86 87 64.9°F 60 63 78.7 °F 79 83 64.7°F 63
09-03-19 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 92 87 ↓ 55.9°F 62 56 ↑ 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 59 65 96.4 °F 93 92 69.5°F 65 65 85.5 °F 86 86 64.9°F 60
09-02-19 66 90.0 °F 89 89 76.3°F 71 72 83.0 °F 89 88 55.9°F 59 57 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 62 65 96.4 °F 94 89 69.5°F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1
% Succ     33.3     33.3     20.0     20.0     25.0     25.0     66.7     33.3
Ave Error 22.2   3.8 20.0   3.8 21.0   4.0 22.1   3.7 23.0   3.2 19.4   3.4 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4
Net Error -22.2   3.0 20.0   -1.8 -21.0   2.6 22.1   -2.3 -23.0   1.5 19.4   -3.4 -22.5   -0.5 19.6   -4.4
Std Dev 10.9   2.9 9.8   2.4 14.2   2.8 14.1   2.9 20.1   3.0 16.8   3.2 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 80   80 67   64 87   82 70   72 87   92 72   72 89   89 71   72
09-07-19 82 78.7 °F 82 63 63.8°F 65 79   80 65   67 86   83 70   71 87   88 70   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 85.5 °F 94 65 ↑ 63.9°F 67 85 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 64 82   82 64   64 80   79 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 60 93 85.5 °F 94 66 63.9°F 65 87 78.7 °F 86 63 63.8°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 59 92 85.5 °F 93 65 63.9°F 63 86 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 59
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 88 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 89 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 85.5 °F 92 63 63.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 83 69 69.1°F 65 90 83.0 °F 88 74 55.9°F 74 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 5 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 4 2 0 0 2 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 83.3   16.7 20.0   0.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 100.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 4.2   3.6 3.2   5.6 4.8   5.5 4.6   5.7 5.1   4.9 0.7   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4
Net Error 1.8   2.9 2.6   2.4 3.5   4.7 3.7   3.1 2.4   3.9 -0.1   -0.4 1.5   5.8 -4.4   -3.4
Std Dev 3.0   2.9 5.8   5.3 3.9   4.0 3.9   4.9 4.7   4.4 0.6   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   81 63   65 79   78 65   64 86   82 70   70 87   86 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 84 62 ↑ 63.9°F 60 84   81 63   62 80   72 66   61 87   84 68   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 83.0 °F 96 65 ↑ 55.9°F 67 85 85.5 °F 87 62 63.9°F 65 82   82 64   64 80   78 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 83 65 65.5°F 63 93 83.0 °F 93 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 64 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 64 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 60
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 87 72 55.9°F 71 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 88 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 85 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 89 74 55.9°F 73 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 85 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 4 0 2 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 66.7   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.3   3.4 4.7   7.1 4.2   4.9 6.3   6.9 4.0   3.8 2.7   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2
Net Error 1.4   2.9 3.7   4.2 2.6   3.6 5.3   5.1 1.3   2.8 1.9   1.9 0.1   4.4 -1.8   -0.4
Std Dev 3.9   4.5 6.0   5.2 4.4   4.2 5.4   5.3 3.7   3.7 2.5   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   78 63   63 79   80 65   65 86   83 70   70 87   87 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 85 62 ↑ 63.9°F 62 84   81 63   63 80   71 66   62 87   81 68   70
09-05-19 94 83.0 °F 95 65 ↑ 55.9°F 69 85 85.5 °F 88 62 63.9°F 64 82   84 64   66 80   80 65   67
09-04-19 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 82 65 65.5°F 62 93 83.0 °F 94 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 63 83   81 62   64
09-03-19 87 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 56 ↑ 55.9°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 65 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 61
09-02-19 90 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 83.0 °F 88 57 55.9°F 60 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 64
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 82 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 86 74 55.9°F 71 86 83.0 °F 87 56 55.9°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 1 2 0 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   16.7 40.0   0.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.4   5.0 4.6   6.8 4.6   4.8 6.3   6.6 3.5   4.3 2.7   4.7 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8
Net Error 2.9   3.9 3.8   4.3 4.2   4.8 5.4   4.8 3.3   4.3 2.0   2.0 0.1   4.1 -1.8   0.6
Std Dev 4.0   4.5 6.0   6.0 4.6   4.4 5.4   5.3 3.1   4.2 2.5   4.4 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   64 64   78 79   65 66   81 87   69 70   86 88   72 72   88
09-06-19 84 ↓ 63.9°F 62 61 85.5 °F 81 81   63 62   71 78   62 65   81 87   70 68   85
09-05-19 94 55.9°F 71 65 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 85 63.9°F 65 62 85.5 °F 84 84   66 64   80 81   67 66   84
09-04-19 82 ↓ 65.5°F 62 65 81.3 °F 92 93 55.9°F 65 63 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 63 62 85.5 °F 81 83   64 64   76
09-03-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 60 55 ↑ 83.0 °F 84 80 65.5°F 61 63 81.3 °F 93 93 55.9°F 65 66 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 61 62 85.5 °F 74
09-02-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 72 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 86 ↓ 55.9°F 59 53 83.0 °F 84 81 65.5°F 61 64 81.3 °F 92 91 55.9°F 64 64 83.0 °F 87
09-01-19 82 69.1°F 68 67 84.8 °F 87 89 55.9°F 71 73 83.0 °F 87 87 55.9°F 60 57 83.0 °F 84 78 65.5°F 62 61 81.3 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     33.3     16.7     20.0     40.0     25.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 26.0   7.0 19.4   4.7 27.2   6.6 20.4   4.2 26.5   4.7 21.0   4.8 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4
Net Error 26.0   4.8 -19.4   3.2 27.2   4.8 -20.4   3.6 26.5   2.0 -21.0   2.6 23.2   0.6 -20.9   1.7
Std Dev 13.4   6.4 9.5   3.5 18.8   5.0 13.0   4.5 23.0   4.4 18.2   4.2 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   80 66   66 87   81 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 63.9°F 64 81 85.5 °F 79 62 ↑   63 78   76 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   89
09-05-19 65 ↑ 65.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 90 62 63.9°F 67 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 64 93 83.0 °F 92 63 ↑ 65.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 85 62 63.9°F 62 83 85.5 °F 81 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 56.3°F 61 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 61 93 83.0 °F 94 66 65.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 87 62 63.9°F 61 81 85.5 °F 78
09-02-19 71 ↑ 73.0°F 73 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 89 53 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 65.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 69.1°F 67 89 84.8 °F 87 73 ↑ 73.0°F 71 87 90.0 °F 86 57 56.3°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3     16.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.9   3.7 7.5   5.2 2.9   2.8 7.0   7.0 2.9   2.5 8.5   7.5 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6
Net Error 0.1   3.0 -2.8   -1.5 -0.0   2.0 -3.0   -2.6 2.0   1.0 -4.5   -2.5 0.7   0.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 3.1   3.4 4.3   3.2 2.7   2.4 5.5   5.7 2.6   2.1 7.9   6.7 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   83 66   68 87   83 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 67.2°F 62 81 85.5 °F 81 62 ↑   63 78   75 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   88
09-05-19 65 ↑ 67.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 88 62 67.2°F 65 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 93 63 ↑ 67.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 62 83 85.5 °F 82 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 68.7°F 60 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 95 66 67.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 61 81 85.5 °F 77
09-02-19 71 ↑ 69.4°F 74 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 53 ↑ 68.7°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 67.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 55.9°F 68 89 83.0 °F 88 73 ↑ 69.4°F 71 87 90.0 °F 87 57 68.7°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0     16.7     20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.3   6.9 7.8   5.7 7.1   4.1 7.0   6.8 6.5   5.0 8.5   7.5 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3
Net Error -0.0   2.3 -2.5   -0.7 -2.9   -1.1 -3.0   -2.0 -2.5   -3.5 -4.5   -2.5 -1.1   -1.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 5.1   3.3 4.4   3.9 4.8   3.0 5.5   5.7 5.7   4.4 7.9   6.8 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.